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Buy and Hold vs. Timing the Market: Which one is better?

There is debate that has been going on for decades and decades. Of course the two sides of the debate both think they are correct  when answering the question which is more profitable, buy and hold or timing the market? Before I give you my thoughts and answer that question,(which is probably different than any answer you have heard before), let me attempt to make an argument for both. Buy and Hold To make sure we’re all on the same page buy and hold would mean buying a stock, ETF, or mutual fund at a price you are comfortable with and never selling it. That definition seems obvious and the concept seems simple. However, it’s probably one of the hardest investment techniques for most people. Emotions, fear, and lack of discipline are just a few reasons why people have a hard time staying true to the buy and hold investment style. Below
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Categories: Markets and Strategy.

A Glimpse at the Global Markets

Global Markets For the past two years the U.S. market has crushed the rest of the globe! The U.S. (S&P 500) is up 42% compared to 15% for Developed Non-U.S. (Europe, Asia, Australia) and -3.5% for the Emerging Markets (China, Brazil, India, etc.). While no one knows when the rest of the globe will catch or even pass the U.S. the returns year to date are interesting. Below is a chart highlighting the returns of the global markets.   As far as the global PE ratios go, here is a brief list. This list highlights the opportunities from a price perspective. While we remain cautious of some areas of the globe, there’s no doubt that there are some great potential opportunities beyond the U.S. United States – 20.3 China – 10.1 Japan – 16.6 India – 19.1 Europe – 18.7 The Good Ole’ U.S. of A.  According to historical probabilities
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Categories: Markets.

Probabilities of Stock Investing

I recently saw a study that helped confirm something that I’ve known for many years but just didn’t have the data. It’s the probability that you will lose money on stocks based on holding them a certain time frame. The statistics shouldn’t be too surprising.   In the 10 years I spent in financial education I would witness these probabilities come true as people would “trade” their hard earned money away looking for the next home run. I could tell you sad story after sad story of those that just didn’t understand the importance of building a portfolio based on fundamentally sound stocks . . . stocks that you would actually want to be a business owner in . . . stocks that you may never want to sell. Warren Buffett said something as it relates to the types of stocks you want to buy . . . “when we own
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Categories: Markets and Strategy.
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